Uvistium
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How our models are built

Research with scientific discipline.

The research team behind Uvistium comprises thirteen people with backgrounds in quantitative finance, machine learning, and market microstructure. What they actually do.

Model architecture

Uvistium runs three separate reinforcement-learning agents, each optimised for a specific market regime:

  1. Trending agent: Designed for persistent price movement (positive autocorrelation). Typically active on 35–45% of trading days.
  2. Range agent: Calibrated for mean-reverting market phases. Typically active 40–50% of the time.
  3. High-volatility agent: Activated when 30-day realised volatility exceeds instrument-specific thresholds. Prioritises capital preservation over return maximisation.

A meta-selector classifies the prevailing market regime every 60 seconds and routes decisions to the appropriate agent. Classification uses a combination of Hurst exponent, realised volatility, and cross-asset correlation structure.

Model type, in detail. All three agents are Proximal Policy Optimisation (PPO) with a modified reward function that maximises Sharpe ratio over a 60-trading-day horizon, with explicit penalty for drawdowns above 8%. Neural network architecture: 4-layer MLP with LayerNorm and ELU activation.

Data sources

Data drawn from more than 40 sources — commercial and open:

Model validation — walk-forward approach

Only walk-forward validation, no in-sample backtests. Every model is trained on a rolling 24-month window and tested on the subsequent 6 months. A model enters production only after robust out-of-sample performance across several consecutive periods.

Current production models have been walk-forward validated across 2007–2026 — spanning the 2008 financial crisis, the 2011 Eurozone crisis, the Brexit vote of 2016, the March 2020 COVID crash, the 2022–2023 inflation shocks, and the sterling-crisis mini-budget aftermath of autumn 2022.

Editorial independence

The research team is organisationally separated from sales, marketing, and the executive board. Research findings — including negative ones that lead to model decommissioning — are communicated internally without commercial consideration.

When a model demonstrates persistent underperformance in a market phase, it is decommissioned. This happened once this calendar year (deactivation of the first-generation Range-V2 agent in April 2026), without delay and without marketing consultation.

Macro monitoring

Alongside the quantitative models, the team continuously monitors the macro indicators most relevant to UK and global markets: Bank of England MPC decisions and minutes, ONS inflation and labour-market data, PMI surveys, quarterly GDP prints, and gilt-market signals. These feed into the models as features but are not the primary signal source.